Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.