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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
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Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
0 - 0
Crewe

FT

Demetriou (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 4-1 Bromley
Sunday, January 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

While Crewe Alexandra enter this match with a much better record this season, Swindon Town have been very impressive at home since the arrival of Ian Holloway, and we feel that they will be able to take a share of the spoils from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
40.19% (-0.142 -0.14) 26.87% (0.181 0.18) 32.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (-0.732 -0.73)54.21% (0.73500000000001 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.616 -0.62)75.61% (0.617 0.62)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)26.46% (0.417 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.556 -0.56)61.64% (0.559 0.56)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.393 -0.39)30.81% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.465 -0.46)67.09% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 40.19%
    Crewe Alexandra 32.95%
    Draw 26.86%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.95%

How you voted: Swindon vs Crewe

Swindon Town
38.9%
Draw
0.0%
Crewe Alexandra
61.1%
18
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Crewe
0-0
Swindon
Demetriou (44'), Tabiner (51')
Cotterill (24')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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