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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
34.32% ( -0.04) | 28.43% ( -0.04) | 37.24% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 46.44% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.12% ( 0.14) | 59.88% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.85% ( 0.11) | 80.15% ( -0.11) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 0.04) | 32.78% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( 0.05) | 69.34% ( -0.05) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( 0.12) | 30.9% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( 0.14) | 67.2% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.32% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 37.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |