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Walsall
Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton

Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Northampton Town

Based on the unpredictable runs of form and consistency endured by both sides this season so far, it is difficult to predict which way this encounter will be going on Tuesday. For this reason, and due to the similar levels of quality possessed by both teams, we believe this big clash in League Two will end in a draw, with tight periods played out throughout the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
48.34%26.76%24.9%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56%57.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75%78.25%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24%38.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5%75.5%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.33%
    Northampton Town 24.9%
    Draw 26.76%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.9%

How you voted: Exeter vs Northampton

Exeter City
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Northampton Town
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Northampton
2-0
Exeter
Oliver (1'), Hoskins (81' pen.)
Adams (90')

Sweeney (80')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
3-2
Northampton
Williams (38'), Martin (64'), Fisher (66')
Bowman (30'), Fisher (39')
Goode (33'), Hoskins (79')
Wharton (42')
Mar 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 36
Northampton
2-1
Exeter
Pierre (32'), Williams (56')
Taylor (60'), Foley (95')
Martin (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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