MX23RW : Monday, January 20 14:52:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
3 - 1
Newtown

Flint (13'), Patterson (29'), Evans (83')
Flint (72'), Bradford (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lock (66')
Roberts (52'), Williams (71'), Oswell (78')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 4-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, November 2 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
16.29% (0.143 0.14) 21.16% (0.475 0.48) 62.55% (-0.618 -0.62)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-1.238 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-1.811 -1.81)45.67% (1.811 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-1.747 -1.75)67.99% (1.747 1.75)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86% (-0.916 -0.92)41.14% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32% (-0.82 -0.82)77.68% (0.819 0.82)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)14% (0.759 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (-1.511 -1.51)41.53% (1.512 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 16.29%
    Newtown AFC 62.54%
    Draw 21.15%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.265 0.27)
2-1 @ 4.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.27% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 16.29%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.434 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.15%
0-1 @ 11.32% (0.55 0.55)
0-2 @ 11.13% (0.25 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 7.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.202 -0.2)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-4 @ 3.18% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.41% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 62.54%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
Dec 26, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Aberystwyth
1-2
Newtown
Evans (28')
Mills-Evans (30', 43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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