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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
1 - 6
New Saints

Sutton (74')
Roberts (23'), Evans (36'), Hughes (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Davies (10'), Bradley (40', 69'), Oteh (63'), McManus (81'), Bodenham (87')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Newtown
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 2-3 Bala Town
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 0-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
18.7% (-0.305 -0.31) 19.85% (-0.127 -0.13) 61.46% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-0.118 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.64% (0.114 0.11)35.36% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.61% (0.125 0.13)57.4% (-0.117 -0.12)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.244 -0.24)32.18% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.278 -0.28)68.67% (0.286 0.29)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.87% (0.154 0.15)11.14% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.43% (0.32599999999999 0.33)35.58% (-0.319 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 18.7%
    The New Saints 61.46%
    Draw 19.85%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.3% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 18.7%
1-1 @ 8.92% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.63% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 7.16% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 6.32% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.06% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.93% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 3.47% (0.064 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.23% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.73% (0.03 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.52% (0.037 0.04)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 61.46%

Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Newtown
0-1
New Saints

Hughes (5'), Roberts (23'), Sears (57'), Robles (81'), Mills-Evans (90')
Jones (84')
Mills-Evans (33' og.)
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
3-0
Newtown
Clark (8'), McManus (32' pen., 60')

Robles (28'), Roberts (30'), Sutton (64')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
New Saints
3-1
Newtown
Young (38'), Williams (60'), McManus (84')
Oswell (47')
Hughes (54'), Hughes (54'), Jones (65')
Nov 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Gabriel Robles (18'), Hughes (36'), Smith (65'), Evans (70'), Sutton (90+4')
Daniels (61'), Clark (90+3')
Hudson (2'), Williams (45+3'), Daniels (70')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
0-5
New Saints
McManus (6', 44', 57'), Cieslewicz (68'), Dafydd (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913


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