Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park
Newtown2 - 4Flint Town
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Flint Town United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newtown 1-6 New Saints
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 0-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flint Town United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newtown AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
34.13% ( -0.03) | 23.01% | 42.86% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 64.65% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% ( -0.01) | 36.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.37% ( -0.01) | 58.63% ( 0.01) |
Newtown AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( -0.02) | 21.59% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( -0.03) | 54.68% ( 0.03) |
Flint Town United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.45% ( 0.01) | 17.55% ( -0.01) |