Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan0 - 0Genoa
We said: AC Milan 1-0 Genoa
Although Genoa have shown signs of improvement, they still lack options across the final third, meaning Milan can continue their trend of keeping Serie A clean sheets at San Siro. The hosts are not all singing from the same hymn sheet - and their coach is apparently treading on thin ice - but they possess enough nous to get the job done. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 75.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
75.03% ( 0.26) | 15.78% ( -0) | 9.19% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% ( -0.86) | 38.76% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.93% ( -0.91) | 61.07% ( 0.91) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( -0.15) | 8.76% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.91% ( -0.37) | 30.09% ( 0.37) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.71% ( -1.13) | 48.29% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.56% ( -0.83) | 83.44% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 75%
Genoa 9.19%
Draw 15.78%
| AC Milan | Draw | Genoa |
| 2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 75% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.73% Total : 15.78% | 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.26% Total : 9.19% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Genoa
AC Milan
84.1%Draw
11.6%Genoa
4.3%69
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
2-0
Genoa
Jan 13, 2022 8pm
Final
AC Milan
3-1
Genoa
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genoa
0-3
AC Milan
