Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
19.38% ( -0.95) | 23.03% ( -0.5) | 57.59% ( 1.45) |
Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.33% ( 0.82) | 48.67% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( 0.74) | 70.78% ( -0.75) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% ( -0.54) | 39.27% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( -0.51) | 75.97% ( 0.51) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% ( 0.81) | 16.64% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.52% ( 1.44) | 46.48% ( -1.44) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.38% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.5% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.01% Total : 57.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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