Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
19.38% ( -0.95) | 23.03% ( -0.5) | 57.59% ( 1.45) |
Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.33% ( 0.82) | 48.67% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( 0.74) | 70.78% ( -0.75) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.73% ( -0.54) | 39.27% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% ( -0.51) | 75.97% ( 0.51) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.36% ( 0.81) | 16.64% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.52% ( 1.44) | 46.48% ( -1.44) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 19.38% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.5% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.87% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.01% Total : 57.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
2 | Napoli | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Fiorentina | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 32 |
6 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
10 | Roma | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
11 | Torino | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
12 | Empoli | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 19 |
14 | Parma | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 18 |
15 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 10 |
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