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Milan logo
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Roma


Pioli (17'), Pulisic (33'), Adli (63'), Loftus-Cheek (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mancini (17')
Cristante (38')

The Match

Match Report

Roma record a 1-0 win over AC Milan in the first leg of their Europa League quarter-final, with Gianluca Mancini netting the only goal of the contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AC Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Lazio
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
60.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.48%17.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 48.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.74% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.57% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)45.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)42.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.87% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.37%
    Roma 17.13%
    Draw 22.48%
AC MilanDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.96%
4-0 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.13%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Roma

AC Milan
75.2%
Draw
16.9%
Roma
7.9%
254
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Adli (11'), Giroud (56'), Hernandez (84')
Kjaer (71'), Gabbia (90')
Paredes (69' pen.)
Mancini (43'), Cristante (56'), Huijsen (81')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Spinazzola (90+2')
Paredes (69'), Lukaku (85')
Giroud (9' pen.), Leao (48')
Tomori (19'), Loftus-Cheek (34'), Okafor (90+7')
Tomori (61')
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 32
Roma
1-1
AC Milan
Abraham (90+4')
Saelemaekers (90+7')
Jan 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
AC Milan
2-2
Roma
Kalulu (30'), Pobega (77')
Ibanez (87'), Abraham (90+3')
Jan 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Giroud (8' pen.), Messias (17'), Leao (81')
Hernandez (44'), Krunic (56')
Abraham (40')
Abraham (7'), Zaniolo (18'), Karsdorp (44'), Mancini (84')
Karsdorp (74'), Mancini (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276


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