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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 4, 2025 at 10.30am UK
Aytac Durak Tesisleri
Istanbul Basaksehir

Adana Demirspor
0 - 1
Istanbul

FT(HT: 0-1)
Davidson (32')
Crespo (19'), Opoku (22'), Kemen (45+2'), Ozdemir (73'), Sengezer (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 1-3 Adana Demirspor
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-2 Kasimpasa
Monday, December 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Adana Demirspor 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

Although Adana Demirspor have performed admirably over the past fortnight, Basaksehir are favourites for this encounter due to their historical dominance and superior quality. Given the recent form of both sides, this promises to be a closely contested clash – however, we are predicting a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Adana DemirsporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
32.72% (0.214 0.21) 23.93% (0.19 0.19) 43.35% (-0.401 -0.4)
Both teams to score 60.72% (-0.61 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (-0.836 -0.84)41.43% (0.836 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.17% (-0.85 -0.85)63.82% (0.852 0.85)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29% (-0.274 -0.27)24.7% (0.276 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75% (-0.386 -0.39)59.25% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)19.36% (0.515 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (-0.849 -0.85)51.15% (0.852 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Adana Demirspor 32.72%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 43.35%
    Draw 23.93%
Adana DemirsporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 7.68% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.199 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.72%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.179 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 43.35%

How you voted: Adana Demirspor vs Istanbul

Adana Demirspor
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Istanbul Basaksehir
50.0%
8
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 38
Adana Demirspor
2-6
Istanbul
Aydogan (37' pen.), Mendoza (88')
Piatek (5', 13', 68'), Ozcan (40'), Davidson (44'), Figueiredo (90+1')
Turuc (36'), Ergun (36')
Jan 6, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 19
Istanbul
0-0
Adana Demirspor
Abeid (44'), Ilkhan (53'), Ba (82')
Jun 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 37
Adana Demirspor
2-3
Istanbul
Stambouli (8'), Morel (48')
Rodrigues (32')
Paulin Keny (10', 86'), Figueiredo (26')
Januzaj (74')
Jan 9, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Istanbul
2-1
Adana Demirspor
Turuc (52' pen.), Gurler (62')
Akaydin (58')
Mar 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 30
Adana Demirspor
2-1
Istanbul
Talha Sanuc (38'), Bjarnason (80')
Akgun (45+3'), Balotelli (74')
Aleksic (48')
Ndayishimiye (28'), Cigerci (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray19163052223051
2Fenerbahce19143249183145
3Samsunspor19114432181437
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK19104538231534
5EyupsporEyupspor1996432191333
6BesiktasBesiktas198742820831
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul198563125629
8GaziantepGaziantep197572526-126
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1967634241025
10Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor197391929-1024
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor195771924-522
12KasimpasaKasimpasa1941052733-622
13KonyasporKonyaspor195682431-721
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor1963102138-1721
15SivassporSivasspor195592132-1120
16Bodrumspor1944111425-1116
17KayserisporKayserispor183781734-1716
18Hatayspor1917111732-1510
19Adana Demirspor1922151542-275


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