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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tilley (52'), Bugiel (66'), Stevens (70')
Lewis (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendrie (77')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 MK Dons
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
58.91% (0.276 0.28) 22.95% (0.185 0.18) 18.14% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-1.395 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-1.434 -1.43)50.09% (1.429 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-1.291 -1.29)72.06% (1.285 1.29)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.411 -0.41)16.68% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (-0.736 -0.74)46.56% (0.73 0.73)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-1.382 -1.38)41.5% (1.376 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-1.239 -1.24)78% (1.234 1.23)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 58.9%
    Morecambe 18.14%
    Draw 22.95%
AFC WimbledonDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.39% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 11.1% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.114 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.97% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 58.9%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.392 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.8% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.14%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe

AFC Wimbledon
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Morecambe
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Morecambe
Bugiel (50')
Tilley (62')
Stokes (74')
Khumbeni (11'), J (42'), Tutonda (66'), Davenport (86'), Melbourne (90+2')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
4-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mellon (46', 61' pen., 88'), Lewis (51' og.)
Adams (58'), Davenport (65'), Tutonda (79')
Little (72')
Bugiel (57')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Morecambe
Marsh (83'), Ablade (90+1')
Wildig (58'), Leigh (65')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
3-4
AFC Wimbledon
Stockton (49', 65'), McLoughlin (54')
Leigh (73'), Delaney (89')
Hartigan (5'), Chislett (61'), Nightingale (72'), Assal (90+4')
Mebude (25'), Lawrence (35'), Chislett (67'), Assal (90+5')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Fleming (76'), Devitt (80' pen.)
Fleming (76')
Francomb (90')
Meades (72'), Reeves (82')
Sweeney (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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