MX23RW : Monday, November 18 02:32:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
PSV

Ajax
1 - 1
PSV

Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Given the plethora of attacking talent on display, we are backing both teams to get on the scoresheet here. That said, we can also see PSV just about edging out their hosts to claim all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
42.17% (0.86 0.86) 21.69% (-0.128 -0.13) 36.13% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 70.33% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.69% (0.53 0.53)29.31% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.64% (0.644 0.64)50.35% (-0.644 -0.64)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.08% (0.536 0.54)14.91% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.7% (1.01 1.01)43.29% (-1.012 -1.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)17.33% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-0.148 -0.15)47.71% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 42.17%
    PSV Eindhoven 36.13%
    Draw 21.69%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.061 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7.19% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.66% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
29.5%
Draw
23.0%
PSV Eindhoven
47.5%
61
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
5-2
Ajax
Lozano (20', 60', 72'), De Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
Van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
PSV win 3-2 on penalties
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!