Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.