Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
42.96% ( 0.35) | 24.67% ( -0.01) | 32.37% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 57.93% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( -0.05) | 45.02% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( -0.05) | 67.37% ( 0.05) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.97% ( 0.14) | 21.03% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( 0.22) | 53.82% ( -0.21) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -0.23) | 26.65% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% ( -0.31) | 61.89% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.96% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |