Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Sep 22, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Meadow Park
Arsenal2 - 2Man City
The Match
Match Report
Vivianne Miedema and Beth Mead make the net bulge as Arsenal and Manchester City play out a thrilling 2-2 Women's Super League draw at the Emirates.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: BK Hacken 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, September 18 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Wednesday, September 18 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Paris 0-5 Man City
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Wednesday, September 18 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
45.5% ( 0.03) | 26.92% ( 0.34) | 27.58% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 48.26% ( -1.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.61% ( -1.48) | 56.38% ( 1.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.6% ( -1.21) | 77.4% ( 1.21) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.28% ( -0.64) | 24.71% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% ( -0.9) | 59.26% ( 0.9) |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.11% ( -1.1) | 35.89% ( 1.1) |