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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester United logo

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Man Utd

Luiz (67')
Lenglet (45+4'), Cash (60'), Diaby (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hojlund (17'), McTominay (86')
Casemiro (37'), Mainoo (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Scott McTominay powers home an 86th-minute header as Manchester United overcome Aston Villa 2-1 to close the gap on the Lions in the Premier League table.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
42.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 23.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 34.79% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 64.24% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)37.1% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (-0.128 -0.13)59.3% (0.128 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.14% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89% (-0.055 -0.05)49.11% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)21.52% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.13 -0.13)54.58% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 42.04%
    Manchester United 34.79%
    Draw 23.16%
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 42.04%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 6% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.79%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man Utd

Aston Villa
33.5%
Draw
15.4%
Manchester United
51.0%
382
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Man Utd
3-2
Aston Villa
Garnacho (59', 71'), Hojlund (82')
Fernandes (73')
McGinn (21'), Dendoncker (26')
Ramsey (45+2'), Carlos (74'), Konsa (87')
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Nov 10, 2022 8pm
Third Round
Man Utd
4-2
Aston Villa
Martial (49'), Rashford (67'), Fernandes (78'), McTominay (90+1')
Watkins (48'), Dalot (61' og.)
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
3-1
Man Utd
Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Ramsey (45' og.)
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
Club Friendlies
Man Utd
2-2
Aston Villa
Sancho (25'), Cash (42' og.)
Chong (78'), Bailly (90+2')
Bailey (49'), Chambers (90+3')
Coutinho (13'), McGinn (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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