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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Empoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Empoli

Pasalic (42' pen.), Lookman (51')
Scalvini (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Luperto (24'), Kovalenko (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 4-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Empoli

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-0 Empoli

 Averaging over two goals per game on home turf this term, Atalanta are strong favourites to prevail despite being between two crucial cup contests. The hosts' forwards have found form and fitness, so Gian Piero Gasperini can afford to rotate his resources and still consign Empoli to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
68.37% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 18.6% (0.0040000000000013 0) 13.03% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.45% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)10.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)35.23% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (0.024999999999999 0.02)42.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.022000000000002 0.02)79.16% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.36%
    Empoli 13.03%
    Draw 18.6%
Atalanta BCDrawEmpoli
2-0 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.17%
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4%
Total : 68.36%
1-1 @ 8.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 13.03%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Empoli

Atalanta BC
87.1%
Draw
11.3%
Empoli
1.6%
62
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-3
Atalanta

Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
> Preview
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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