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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Nashville

Atlanta
0 - 2
Nashville


Williams (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Muyl (5'), Williams (76')
Surridge (45+4'), Williams (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-1 Nashville SC

Atlanta are likely to secure a win given their strong home form and recent attacking prowess while Nashville have struggled on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 56%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
56% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.44% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 22.56% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 60.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (-0.144 -0.14)37.42% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (-0.156 -0.16)59.64% (0.155 0.16)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68% (-0.146 -0.15)13.32% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83% (-0.297 -0.3)40.17% (0.296 0.3)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.121 0.12)29.78% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (0.148 0.15)65.85% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 56%
    Nashville SC 22.56%
    Draw 21.44%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNashville SC
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 9.69% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.91% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 5.87% (0.049 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 22.56%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Nashville

Atlanta United
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
Nashville SC
0.0%
14
Head to Head
May 18, 2024 6.45pm
Nashville
1-1
Atlanta
Williams (40' pen.)
Surridge (45+3'), Bauer (90')
Slisz (56')
Guzan (37'), Rode Gregersen (44')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Atlanta
4-0
Nashville
Silva (26'), Almada (46'), Robinson (57'), Lobzhanidze (87')
Muyumba (34'), Pineda (35'), Wolff (66')
Apr 29, 2023 6.30pm
Nashville
3-1
Atlanta
Picault (36'), Bunbury (56'), Shaffelburg (90+1')
Almada (72' pen.)
May 22, 2022 12.30am
Aug 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Atlanta
0-2
Nashville

Barco (37'), Sejdic (61')
Rios (45+2'), Leal (90+5')
Lovitz (26'), Anunga (75'), Leal (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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