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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
54.7% ( -1.03) | 21.69% ( 0.28) | 23.61% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 61.39% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.65% ( -0.46) | 37.35% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.43% ( -0.49) | 59.57% ( 0.49) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( -0.47) | 13.69% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.08% ( -0.94) | 40.92% ( 0.93) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% ( 0.36) | 28.87% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% ( 0.45) | 64.73% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 23.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |