MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 04:18:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FC Twente logo

AZ
1 - 0
FC Twente

Parrott (48')
Penetra (45+1'), Goes (53'), Clasie (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lagerbielke (30'), van Wolfswinkel (36'), Rots (65'), Kuipers (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 3-1 Groningen
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

FC Twente

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Katwijk 2-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, December 18 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 FC Twente

 In addition to their resurgent league form, AZ have got the better of Twente in recent meetings at the AFAS, winning seven of the last nine encounters. The visitors have also struggled on the road against sides currently in the top six, with all three of their away league losses this season coming against such teams, and we feel this Saturday's outcome will not be an exception. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.48%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
54.53% (0.068999999999996 0.07) 21.5% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 23.97% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 62.52% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.93% (-0.221 -0.22)36.07% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.83% (-0.241 -0.24)58.17% (0.246 0.25)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)13.31% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.85% (-0.106 -0.11)40.15% (0.109 0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)27.88% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-0.247 -0.25)63.49% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 54.53%
    FC Twente 23.97%
    Draw 21.5%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.14% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.041 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.74% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: AZ vs FC Twente

AZ Alkmaar
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
FC Twente
10.0%
60
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 32
AZ
2-1
FC Twente
Van Bommel (46'), Pavlidis (66')
van Bommel (8'), Sadiq (50'), Belic (59')
Steijn (5')
Propper (30')
> Preview
Jan 13, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (42', 70')
Eiting (66'), Taha (86'), Propper (90+2')
Odgaard (4')
Martins Indi (65'), Bazoer (86')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Twente
2-1
AZ
Ugalde (8', 11')
Karlsson (66')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 6
AZ
1-1
FC Twente
Odgaard (54')
Ugalde (81')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
AZ
0-1
FC Twente

Koopmeiners (8'), Hatzidiakos (75')
Brenet (62')
Sadilek (38'), Propper (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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