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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 13
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
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Barnsley
2 - 2
Bolton

McAtee (25'), Pines (47')
McAtee (32'), Williams (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adeboyejo (62'), Williams (90+8')
Thomason (11'), Iredale (90+10'), Jerome (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 2-4 Barnsley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-2 Bolton Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim all three points to aid their promotion bids, but after playing out a draw in February's reverse fixture, we think that the two closely-matched sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
39.71% (-0.124 -0.12) 25.37% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 34.92% (0.192 0.19)
Both teams to score 56.23% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.312 0.31)47.54% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.287 0.29)69.74% (-0.283 -0.28)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.076000000000008 0.08)23.68% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (0.107 0.11)57.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.262 0.26)26.32% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.346 0.35)61.45% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 39.71%
    Bolton Wanderers 34.92%
    Draw 25.37%
BarnsleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.71%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 34.92%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bolton

Barnsley
47.1%
Draw
11.8%
Bolton Wanderers
41.2%
68
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Bolton
1-1
Barnsley
Ashworth (64')
Maghoma (18'), Dempsey (84')
Cole (5')
Durand de Gevigney (2'), Connell (35'), Williams (47'), Cole (90+1')
May 19, 2023 8pm
May 13, 2023 3pm
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Barnsley
0-3
Bolton
Charles (12' pen.), Dadi Bodvarsson (41'), Dempsey (76')
Nov 5, 2022 2pm
First Round
Bolton
1-2
Barnsley
Santos (6' og.), Phillips (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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