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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 1-0 (7.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
56.02% ( -0.14) | 21.18% ( 0.03) | 22.8% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 62.18% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.14% ( -0.02) | 35.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.06% ( -0.02) | 57.94% ( 0.02) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% ( -0.05) | 12.8% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.89% ( -0.1) | 39.11% ( 0.1) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( 0.08) | 28.7% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.48% ( 0.1) | 64.52% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.02% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
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