MX23RW : Sunday, January 19 07:22:06| >> :600:4047003:4047003:
Bayern logo
DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Upamecano (13'), Goretzka (52')
Neuer (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (69')
Tapsoba (13'), Wirtz (22'), Kovar (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Although they were forced to settle for a draw when the sides met in September, it seems that Bayern Munich are bound to knock Leverkusen off their perch this season. Xabi Alonso's team are not quite the force they were this time last year, while their hosts have been brilliant both in defence and attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
56.85% (-0.1 -0.1) 22.11% (-0.186 -0.19) 21.04% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 56.27% (1.068 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (1.208 1.21)42.47% (-1.21 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (1.195 1.2)64.87% (-1.195 -1.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.376 0.38)14.74% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (0.718 0.72)42.96% (-0.719 -0.72)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.968 0.97)34% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (1.029 1.03)70.68% (-1.03 -1.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 56.85%
    Bayer Leverkusen 21.04%
    Draw 22.11%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 56.85%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.04%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
63.4%
Draw
19.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
17.6%
153
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')
Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Bayern
Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Bayern
Palacios (55' pen., 73' pen.)
Kimmich (22')
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Washington
45-31
Lions
8pm
Rams
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Ravens
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Aston Villa2210663334-136
8Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!