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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42%. A win for Bayern Munich has a probability of 35.46% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win is 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.59%).
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
42% ( -0.19) | 22.54% ( 0.74) | 35.46% ( -0.54) |
Both teams to score 66.82% ( -3.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.2% ( -3.89) | 33.8% ( 3.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.36% ( -4.55) | 55.64% ( 4.56) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -1.65) | 16.81% ( 1.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.22% ( -3.04) | 46.78% ( 3.04) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.32% ( -2.01) | 19.68% ( 2.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.33% ( -3.38) | 51.67% ( 3.38) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.37) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.28) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.45% Total : 42% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.63) 3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.74) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |