MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 08:31:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Bayern logo

St Pauli
0 - 1
Bayern


Guilavogui (64'), Blessin (65'), Saliakas (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Musiala (22')
Min-jae (66'), Laimer (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-2 St Pauli
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Benfica
Wednesday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Champions League

We said: St Pauli 0-4 Bayern Munich

 Given the sheer number of attacking absentees for St Pauli, it is difficult to see how they can pose an offensive challenge to Bayern. Additionally, the visitors have been exceptional goalscorers away from home this season, and they could score multiple times in their clash at Millerntor-Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.15%) and 1-3 (6.81%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawBayern Munich
23.1% (0.291 0.29) 20.56% (0.139 0.14) 56.35% (-0.434 -0.43)
Both teams to score 64.92% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.54% (-0.334 -0.33)32.45% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.9% (-0.38999999999999 -0.39)54.09% (0.387 0.39)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (0.037999999999997 0.04)26.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (0.052999999999997 0.05)61.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.22500000000001 -0.23)11.6% (0.221 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (-0.486 -0.49)36.59% (0.483 0.48)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 23.1%
    Bayern Munich 56.35%
    Draw 20.56%
St PauliDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.83% (0.065 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.08% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.01 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.71% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 23.1%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.08% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 6.81% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 5.13% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.43% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 56.35%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Bayern

St Pauli
7.8%
Draw
7.8%
Bayern Munich
84.3%
102
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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