After weeks of mediocre results, Moreirense have turned a corner of late and will head into the weekend looking to make it three wins from three across all competitions.
Boavista, on the other hand, have failed to get going this season, and while they boast a solid home record in this fixture, we see them struggling this weekend once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.34) 
