Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 3-1 Moreirense
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
While Benfica have notched up back-to-back wins heading into this match, their performances in those games, particularly last week, were far from impressive, and we feel they will struggle to take all three points off the steadily improving Moreirense in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
20.91% ( -0.01) | 22.75% ( 0.01) | 56.34% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
