Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 2Roma
We said: Bologna 1-1 Roma
This clash will put Roma's newfound resilience to the test, as Bologna are usually tough to beat at the Dall'Ara. The hosts have a five-point lead over their capital-city counterparts - with two games in hand - and they can preserve that healthy advantage with a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Roma had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
47.04% ( -0.01) | 27.12% ( -0) | 25.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.89% ( 0.02) | 58.11% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% ( 0.01) | 78.77% ( -0.02) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0) | 24.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.72% ( 0.01) | 59.28% ( -0.01) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0.02) | 38.31% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.94% ( 0.02) | 75.06% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Bologna 47.04%
Roma 25.84%
Draw 27.12%
| Bologna | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.04% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 25.84% |
How you voted: Bologna vs Roma
Bologna
42.2%Draw
32.1%Roma
25.7%109
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Roma
2-3
Bologna
Apr 22, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Roma
1-3
Bologna
Dec 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-0
Roma
May 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Bologna
0-0
Roma
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
