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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Roma logo

AC Milan
vs.
Roma

Coverage of the Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-1 Sampdoria
Wednesday, December 18 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Next Game: Roma vs. Parma
Sunday, December 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roma has a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Roma win it is 0-1 (5.36%).

Result
AC MilanDrawRoma
60.88% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 21.69% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 17.42% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (-0.445 -0.45)45.99% (0.441 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (-0.424 -0.42)68.3% (0.41900000000001 0.42)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-0.125 -0.13)14.63% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.25% (-0.232 -0.23)42.75% (0.228 0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-0.426 -0.43)39.93% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.395 -0.4)76.59% (0.39099999999999 0.39)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 60.87%
    Roma 17.42%
    Draw 21.69%
AC MilanDrawRoma
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.79% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.42%

Head to Head
May 31, 2024 12pm
Club Friendlies
Roma
5-2
AC Milan
Baldanzi (28'), Abraham (45+2'), Angelino (54'), Dybala (57'), Azmoun (77')
Hernandez (37'), Okafor (55')
Apr 18, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Roma
2-1
AC Milan
Mancini (12'), Dybala (22')
Celik (31')
Gabbia (85')
Calabria (32'), Gabbia (46'), Adli (51'), Jovic (77'), Tomori (89'), Hernandez (90+2')
Apr 11, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-1
Roma

Pioli (17'), Pulisic (33'), Adli (63'), Loftus-Cheek (73')
Mancini (17')
Cristante (38')
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
3-1
Roma
Adli (11'), Giroud (56'), Hernandez (84')
Kjaer (71'), Gabbia (90')
Paredes (69' pen.)
Mancini (43'), Cristante (56'), Huijsen (81')
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Roma
1-2
AC Milan
Spinazzola (90+2')
Paredes (69'), Lukaku (85')
Giroud (9' pen.), Leao (48')
Tomori (19'), Loftus-Cheek (34'), Okafor (90+7')
Tomori (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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