Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roma has a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Roma win it is 0-1 (5.36%).
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
60.88% ( 0.08) | 21.69% ( 0.05) | 17.42% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.28% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54% ( -0.45) | 45.99% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.7% ( -0.42) | 68.3% ( 0.42) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( -0.13) | 14.63% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.25% ( -0.23) | 42.75% ( 0.23) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% ( -0.43) | 39.93% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( -0.4) | 76.59% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |