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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Lazio logo

Roma
2 - 0
Lazio

Pellegrini (10'), Saelemaekers (18')
Saelemaekers (37'), Dybala (71'), Paredes (78'), N'Dicka (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gila (32'), Zaccagni (34'), Castellanos (41'), Rovella (54'), Dia (72')
Castellanos (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Roma
Sunday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Atalanta
Saturday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-2 Lazio

Roma may have steadied the ship, but Lazio are a class above their city rivals this season and can score more than once past a vulnerable defence. Blessed with attacking options, the Biancocelesti should secure a win that takes them even further ahead in the standings, starting 2025 in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawLazio
47.51% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03) 25.62% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 26.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16% (0.047000000000004 0.05)51.85% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4% (0.039999999999999 0.04)73.6% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)55.05% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (0.051999999999992 0.05)34.03% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.057000000000002 0.06)70.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Roma 47.5%
    Lazio 26.87%
    Draw 25.62%
RomaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 26.87%

How you voted: Roma vs Lazio

Roma
38.6%
Draw
19.6%
Lazio
41.8%
153
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 31
Roma
1-0
Lazio
Mancini (42')
De Rossi (22'), Mancini (55'), Celik (68'), Pellegrini (80'), Paredes (81'), Lukaku (90+3'), Lukaku (90+6')

Vecino (21'), Pedro (73'), Castellanos (75')
Jan 10, 2024 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Lazio
1-0
Roma
Zaccagni (51' pen.)
Castellanos (60'), Guendouzi (65'), Pellegrini (90+3'), Pedro (90+5')
Pedro (90+6')

Cristante (57'), Mancini (65')
Azmoun (90+10'), Mancini (90+11')
Nov 12, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 12
Lazio
0-0
Roma
Sarri (33'), Immobile (38'), Alberto (67'), Patric (74')
Mancini (18'), N'Dicka (31'), Lukaku (37'), Azmoun (87')
Mar 19, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-0
Roma
Zaccagni (65')
Nov 6, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
0-1
Lazio
Anderson (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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