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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.44%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.78%) and 1-0 (6.54%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
53.44% ( -1.7) | 21.16% ( 0.41) | 25.4% ( 1.29) |
Both teams to score 65.51% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.13% ( -0.69) | 32.87% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.42% ( -0.8) | 54.58% ( 0.81) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.44% ( -0.71) | 12.56% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.38% ( -1.5) | 38.62% ( 1.51) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( 0.55) | 25.08% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0.76) | 59.77% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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