Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo1 - 3Junior
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Atletico Junior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Junior
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Botafogo | Draw | Atletico Junior |
63.22% ( -0.9) | 21.85% ( 0.29) | 14.93% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( 0.03) | 50.93% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( 0.03) | 72.81% ( -0.03) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.48% ( -0.28) | 15.52% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.57% ( -0.53) | 44.43% ( 0.53) |
Atletico Junior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.85% ( 0.92) | 46.15% ( -0.92) |