MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:28:33| >> :600:1712053:1712053:
Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
1 - 3
Junior

Hugo (43')
Tiquinho (45+1'), Tche (90'), Santos (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Bacca (13' pen., 41'), Fuentes (28')
Pacheco (45+1'), Ceballos (75'), Albornoz (82')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Botafogo and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Botafogo
Thursday, March 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 1-0 Junior
Friday, March 10 at 12am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.43%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawAtletico Junior
63.22% (-0.904 -0.9) 21.85% (0.286 0.29) 14.93% (0.621 0.62)
Both teams to score 45.49% (0.626 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07% (0.031000000000006 0.03)50.93% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.028000000000002 0.03)72.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (-0.282 -0.28)15.52% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (-0.533 -0.53)44.43% (0.535 0.53)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.85% (0.919 0.92)46.15% (-0.916 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (0.7 0.7)81.84% (-0.697 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 63.22%
    Atletico Junior 14.93%
    Draw 21.84%
BotafogoDrawAtletico Junior
1-0 @ 13.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 12.43% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.72% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 63.22%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.84%
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.96% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 14.93%

rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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