MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:49:01| >> :600:1691681:1691681:
Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Bragantino

Botafogo
2 - 1
Bragantino

Santos (44', 73')
Halter (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Capixaba (45+2')
Sasha (53')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Botafogo and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 6-0 Aurora
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Aguilas (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawBragantino
41.95% (0.719 0.72) 27.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 30.94% (-0.759 -0.76)
Both teams to score 49.47% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (-0.368 -0.37)55.69% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (-0.302 -0.3)76.84% (0.298 0.3)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.212 0.21)26.2% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.7% (0.283 0.28)61.3% (-0.288 -0.29)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (-0.727 -0.73)32.96% (0.723 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (-0.814 -0.81)69.54% (0.81 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 41.94%
    Bragantino 30.94%
    Draw 27.1%
BotafogoDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.75% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.11 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 41.94%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.94%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 34
Bragantino
2-2
Botafogo
Borbas (3', 90+6')
Realpe (26'), Fernandes (81')
Victor (35'), Eduardo (37')
Hernandez (86')
Jul 16, 2023 1am
Gameweek 15
Botafogo
2-0
Bragantino
Eduardo (48'), Di Placido (60')
Cuesta (53')

Vitinho (21')
Oct 26, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 34
Botafogo
2-1
Bragantino
Gabriel (18'), Tche (71')
Candido (62')
Jul 5, 2022 12am
Gameweek 15
Bragantino
0-1
Botafogo
Novaes (86')
Ramires (90+5')
Nascimento (45+2'), Lopes (47'), Saravia (70'), Fernandes (78')
Nov 16, 2020 11pm
Gameweek 21
Botafogo
1-2
Bragantino
Babi (44')
Ytalo (45+1'), Claudinho (86' pen.)
Cuello (45+1'), Ortiz (71'), Helinho (73')
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
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18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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