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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Brighton logo

Bournemouth
3 - 0
Brighton

Senesi (13'), Unal (52'), Kluivert (87')
Senesi (8'), Kluivert (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gilmour (58'), Barco (66')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth cruise to a 3-0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion in Sunday's Premier League fixture at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.99% (-0.257 -0.26) 22.32% (0.038 0.04) 35.68% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 67.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)32.65% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (-0.174 -0.17)54.32% (0.172 0.17)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)16.34% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.293 -0.29)45.94% (0.29 0.29)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (0.032999999999987 0.03)19.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (0.055999999999997 0.06)50.64% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.99%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.68%
    Draw 22.32%
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.025 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.68%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Brighton

Bournemouth
68.2%
Draw
14.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16.9%
154
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Brighton
3-1
Bournemouth
Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Manchester CityMan City127232217523
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Chelsea126422314922
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Brentford136252623320
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
9Aston Villa125431919019
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
11Bournemouth135352019118
12Fulham125341717018
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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