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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
46.2% ( -0.08) | 25.73% ( 0.03) | 28.06% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% ( -0.1) | 51.55% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% ( -0.09) | 73.35% ( 0.08) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.71% ( -0.08) | 22.29% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.25% ( -0.12) | 55.75% ( 0.12) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.06% ( -0.02) | 32.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.48% ( -0.02) | 69.52% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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