Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.