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AFC Wimbledon
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Carlisle United
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Bromley
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rayners Lane
Newport County

Bromley
5 - 2
Newport

Sowunmi (27'), Reynolds (35'), Cheek (53'), Arthurs (70'), Thompson (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Evans (72'), Whitmore (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Bromley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 6-3 MK Dons
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bromley 2-2 Newport County

Newport should be feeling good about themselves after such an impressive attacking display last week, but they also tend to leave gaps in behind their backline, conceding three or more goals in six domestic contests this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 16.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.

Result
BromleyDrawNewport County
60.22% (-0.104 -0.1) 22.8% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 16.98% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 47.03% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77% (-0.116 -0.12)51.23% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93% (-0.1 -0.1)73.07% (0.107 0.11)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)16.63% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)46.47% (0.143 0.14)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)79.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bromley 60.21%
    Newport County 16.98%
    Draw 22.79%
BromleyDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.66%
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 60.21%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.25% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 16.98%

How you voted: Bromley vs Newport

Bromley
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Newport County
16.7%
12
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2411763428640
4Salford City2311662819939
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
6Port Vale2410862724338
7Notts County23107636261037
8Grimsby Town24121113537-237
9Bradford CityBradford239863026435
10Chesterfield249783829934
11Bromley2381053426834
12MK Dons2210483630634
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow237792324-128
16Colchester UnitedColchester2351262826227
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Swindon TownSwindon2459103139-824
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257103040-1022
21Tranmere RoversTranmere2257101632-1622
22Harrogate TownHarrogate2464141937-1822
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2346131937-1818


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