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Premier League | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Brentford logo

Burnley
2 - 1
Brentford

Bruun Larsen (10' pen.), Datro Fofana (62')
Amdouni (81'), Taylor (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajer (83')
Janelt (68'), Ajer (84'), Baptiste (90+13'), Toney (90+10')
Reguilon (8')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Jacob Bruun Larsen and David Datro Fofana help Burnley to a 2-1 victory over Brentford at Turf Moor.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Burnley
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Burnley in this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawBrentford
42.23% (0.356 0.36) 23.98% (0.13 0.13) 33.79% (-0.486 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (-0.76 -0.76)41.34% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.26% (-0.774 -0.77)63.73% (0.774 0.77)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.16 -0.16)19.81% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)51.89% (0.258 0.26)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.631 -0.63)24.04% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.69% (-0.907 -0.91)58.31% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 42.23%
    Brentford 33.79%
    Draw 23.98%
BurnleyDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.71% (0.225 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.066 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 42.23%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Burnley vs Brentford

Burnley
20.9%
Draw
21.8%
Brentford
57.3%
234
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Brentford
3-0
Burnley
Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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