Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Centenario
Progreso1 - 5Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Progreso 2-2 Fenix
Monday, November 18 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, November 18 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.3%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Penarol |
20.01% ( -0.06) | 26.38% ( 0.02) | 53.61% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.32% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
