Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Santa Clara |
24.31% ( 0.11) | 27.39% ( 0.11) | 48.3% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 44.45% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40% ( -0.27) | 60% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.76% ( -0.21) | 80.23% ( 0.21) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.25% ( -0.05) | 40.75% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.67% ( -0.05) | 77.33% ( 0.04) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( -0.22) | 24.97% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( -0.31) | 59.61% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.27% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 14.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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