Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
We said: Benfica 2-0 Casa Pia
Despite holding Benfica to a 1-1 draw last season, the Eagles are backed to notch a 12th straight league victory at Estadio da Luz against Casa Pia. Seven of those home matches have seen Schmidt's men keep clean sheets, and an eight could be imminent on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 7.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
80.1% ( 1.49) | 12.48% ( -0.65) | 7.42% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( -1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
