Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Casa Pia in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
56.09% ( 0.12) | 22.46% ( 0.23) | 21.45% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 55.69% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.47% ( -1.49) | 43.53% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.07% ( -1.47) | 65.93% ( 1.48) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.65% ( -0.47) | 15.36% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.87% ( -0.89) | 44.13% ( 0.89) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% ( -1.17) | 34.21% ( 1.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -1.27) | 70.91% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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