Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
33.78% ( 0.01) | 27.57% ( 0.16) | 38.65% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 48.91% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.21% ( -0.62) | 56.78% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.28% ( -0.5) | 77.72% ( 0.5) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( -0.31) | 31.56% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( -0.36) | 67.95% ( 0.36) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% ( -0.4) | 28.54% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% ( -0.5) | 64.33% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |