Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.57%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 3.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 4-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.91%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
87.57% ( -0) | 8.47% ( 0) | 3.95% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.69% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.85% | 23.15% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.54% ( -0) | 42.46% ( 0) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.61% | 3.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.15% ( -0) | 14.85% ( 0) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.33% ( 0.01) | 51.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.21% ( 0.01) | 85.78% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | St Johnstone |
3-0 @ 11.31% 2-0 @ 10.02% 4-0 @ 9.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6.48% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.92% 5-1 @ 4.28% 6-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.42% 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 4.57% Total : 87.56% | 1-1 @ 3.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 8.47% | 1-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.51% Total : 3.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |