Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
51.14% (![]() | 21.26% (![]() | 27.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.35% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.62% (![]() | 31.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.17% (![]() | 52.82% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.27% (![]() | 12.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.03% (![]() | 38.96% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.17% (![]() | 22.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.46% (![]() | 56.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.12% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.14% | 1-1 @ 8.85% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.26% | 1-2 @ 6.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 36 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 31 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 28 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
7 | Macarthur | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 25 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 25 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 18 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 41 | -29 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |