League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Cheltenham1 - 2Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Cheltenham Town 0-1 Exeter City
Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one. Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
39.58% ( 0.21) | 26.03% ( -0.04) | 34.39% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( 0.12) | 50.48% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( 0.11) | 72.4% ( -0.11) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.92% ( 0.17) | 25.08% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.23% ( 0.24) | 59.76% ( -0.24) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( -0.05) | 28.04% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.3% ( -0.07) | 63.7% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town 39.58%
Exeter City 34.39%
Draw 26.02%
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 39.58% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.39% |
How you voted: Cheltenham vs Exeter
Cheltenham Town
20.0%Draw
30.0%Exeter City
50.0%10
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Form Guide
