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League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Exeter

Williams (51')
Kinsella (39'), Thomas (59'), Nuttall (60'), Long (84'), Harrop (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Harris (56'), Cole (90' pen.)
Sweeney (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-1 Exeter City

 Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one. Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
39.58% (0.212 0.21) 26.03% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 34.39% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.123 0.12)50.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.106 0.11)72.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.167 0.17)25.08% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.236 0.24)59.76% (-0.241 -0.24)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.067 -0.07)63.7% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.58%
    Exeter City 34.39%
    Draw 26.02%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Exeter

Cheltenham Town
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Exeter
1-0
Cheltenham
Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')

Williams (18'), Williams (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3-1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Key (69')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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