FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alwyns Lane Football Ground
Chertsey Town1 - 3Sutton
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Chertsey Town and Sutton United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hartlepool 4-3 Sutton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Chertsey Town had a probability of 11.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-3 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Chertsey Town win it was 2-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chertsey Town | Draw | Sutton United |
11.27% ( -0.02) | 15.2% ( -0.02) | 73.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.38% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
