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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 7, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Corinthians

Nacional
0 - 2
Corinthians


Meza (28'), Nunez (46'), Caceres (62')
Caballero (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alberto (75'), Matheuzinho (90+6')
Gassova (57')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Club Nacional and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Racing
Thursday, April 25 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 5 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Club NacionalDrawCorinthians
20.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 26.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 52.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.16% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.02% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.93% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.82%80.18% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 20.85%
    Corinthians 52.68%
    Draw 26.46%
Club NacionalDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.01%
3-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.85%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 14.86%
0-2 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-3 @ 5.4%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-4 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.68%

How you voted: Nacional vs Corinthians

Club Nacional
0.0%
Draw
40.0%
Corinthians
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Corinthians
4-0
Nacional
Romero (22', 73'), Alberto (64'), Raul (89')
Fagner (45'), Paulinho (85')

Caballero (46'), Meza (50')
Arevalo (60')
rhs 2.0
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