Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 71.1%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 11.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.