We said: Colorado Rapids 2-1 Austin FC
Colorado Rapids and Austin have struggled to get going in recent weeks and will head into Saturday's clash in search of a pick-me-up. The Rapids have lost just one of their last six games against Austin, and given their solid home form, we see them coming away with a narrow win this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colorado Rapids would win this match.